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Arnold Zellner, Hugo A. Keuzenkamp, Michael McAleer

Simplicity, Inference and Modeling: Keeping It Sophisticatedly Simple

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ISBN: 0521803616, 9780521803618
Издательство: Cambridge University Press
The idea that simplicity matters in science is as old as science itself, with the much cited example of Ockham's Razor. A problem with Ockham's Razor is that nearly everybody seems to accept it, but few are able to define its exact meaning and to make itoperational in a non-arbitrary way. Using a multidisciplinary perspective including philosophers, mathematicians, econometricians and economists, this monograph examines simplicity by asking six questions: What is meant by simplicity? How is simplicity measured? Is there an optimum trade-off between simplicity and goodness-of-fit? What is the relation between simplicity and empirical modelling? What is the relation between simplicity and prediction? What is the connection between simplicity and convenience?
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